My experience is that only the reeds for high notes tend to go up (which is convenient as tuning them down a bit is easier than tuning them up).I have found them more often to go up, but that’s just based on empirical evidence with the few accordions I have tuned.
With lower notes it's pretty much an equal mix of reeds having gone up or down. It's not just the reeds that go out of tune but leather valves may change over time as well and thus change the amount of resistance they offer to the airflow.